www.theoxfordscientist.com
~ Slovak PM begins long road to recovery ~ Iranian President Raisi killed in helicopter crash ~
... status of long-running Shadow War, uncertain.
did Indian PM Modi, while standing on the banks of the Ganga River, state
that he felt he was not 'born biologically' but rather - sent by God,
just pour fuel onto an already raging fire?
temporal proximity, between Iran's first-ever direct attack against Israel,
and the President Raisi helicopter crash, allows for an inference of causation ...
_ _ _ _ _ _
Assassination attempt on PM of Slovakia
... five shots rang out that were heard around the globe
Prime Minister Robert Fico, 59, is in serious, but stable condition days
after being shot multiple times in the stomach, hospital officials report
.... what the investigative and intelligence agencies and services are saying
about the immediate pre-shooting security environment
about the immediate pre-shooting security environment
The executive branch of the Slovak government was in the throughs of several substantial money, disinformation, Slovak agricultural paying agency (PPA), and other scandals associated with party political pro-Russian and anti-American maneuvering, prior to the shooting, attempted assassination, of the PM.
A recently murdered Slovak journalist was killed, while investigating Italian mafia links to high ranking government, party and business figures. Fico, perhaps, now seen wavering on his staunch support for all things Putin, and Russia, may have been in line to make way for a more pro-Russian leader from a plethora of them waiting in the executive wing. Whether that was the exact intention of the shooting, or not, the outcome is most likely to be a new leader that is as pro-Russia, and anti-American, as is possible in a landlocked Central European country.
Slovakia is within the active Ukraine theatre of war region, and Russia, Putin, is never far from the scene of a Machiavellian crime. But, since this is a background document, it is the answers to the simple questions that yield the most pertinent information initially, as we construct our null hypothesis. Why do people, and by implication to these circumstances, why do governmental and non-governmental organisations intimidate and murder?
There are well-documented circumstances under which people murder, or get murdered. One might want to consider, two broad over-arching categories, that is, murders that are pre-emptive and those that are not pre-emptive. And, one must not allow an investigation to be plagued by the vagaries of tunnel-vision, linkage or pattern blindness. An analogy can be drawn to current Canadian relations with India, to wit:
A recently murdered Slovak journalist was killed, while investigating Italian mafia links to high ranking government, party and business figures. Fico, perhaps, now seen wavering on his staunch support for all things Putin, and Russia, may have been in line to make way for a more pro-Russian leader from a plethora of them waiting in the executive wing. Whether that was the exact intention of the shooting, or not, the outcome is most likely to be a new leader that is as pro-Russia, and anti-American, as is possible in a landlocked Central European country.
Slovakia is within the active Ukraine theatre of war region, and Russia, Putin, is never far from the scene of a Machiavellian crime. But, since this is a background document, it is the answers to the simple questions that yield the most pertinent information initially, as we construct our null hypothesis. Why do people, and by implication to these circumstances, why do governmental and non-governmental organisations intimidate and murder?
There are well-documented circumstances under which people murder, or get murdered. One might want to consider, two broad over-arching categories, that is, murders that are pre-emptive and those that are not pre-emptive. And, one must not allow an investigation to be plagued by the vagaries of tunnel-vision, linkage or pattern blindness. An analogy can be drawn to current Canadian relations with India, to wit:
Canadian spy agency, CSIS, accuses India of espionage
As to the question of current Indian governmental involvement in the BC shooting of an Indian National associated with a movement that does not curry favour with Modi's RSS factionalized administration, the facts are these: A young Indian National associated with the same movement as the shooting victim in BC travelled from Ontario to India. In India he was accorded police protection, officially. The police protection was later withdrawn, and the subject was shot.
According police protection, and withdrawing it, are both official and highly specific acts of government, and renders Modi's, our government had nothing to do with it whatsoever, prima facie, laughable. But more importantly, as the current government of India, has adopted a posture of increased involvement in what it considers its legitimate national security interests abroad, and in a rather aggressive way, it should noted that it is this posture that will land Indian Nationals in the docket at the Hague, inevitably. Was this what Modi traded with Trump for in exchange for his bootlicking clearing of the streets the Trump motorcade would travel through?
The thrust of the Indian situation, will help guide the investigation into just who inside and outside the official and the unofficial Government of Slovakia, and the interplay between its pro-Russia and anti-American factions, right-wing American billionaires, Russian oligarchs, and a revived fascist-mafia class in Italy, and how these international operatives have worked to reduce the Government of Slovakia to a Trump-like criminal enterprise.
According police protection, and withdrawing it, are both official and highly specific acts of government, and renders Modi's, our government had nothing to do with it whatsoever, prima facie, laughable. But more importantly, as the current government of India, has adopted a posture of increased involvement in what it considers its legitimate national security interests abroad, and in a rather aggressive way, it should noted that it is this posture that will land Indian Nationals in the docket at the Hague, inevitably. Was this what Modi traded with Trump for in exchange for his bootlicking clearing of the streets the Trump motorcade would travel through?
The thrust of the Indian situation, will help guide the investigation into just who inside and outside the official and the unofficial Government of Slovakia, and the interplay between its pro-Russia and anti-American factions, right-wing American billionaires, Russian oligarchs, and a revived fascist-mafia class in Italy, and how these international operatives have worked to reduce the Government of Slovakia to a Trump-like criminal enterprise.
... there are police, as well as, intelligence gathering
and analysis activities in investigations, but exercise caution,
intelligence is a means to find the truth, not to just confirm what we already believe
and analysis activities in investigations, but exercise caution,
intelligence is a means to find the truth, not to just confirm what we already believe
It is a cardinal rule that the distinction between intelligence and policing underscores their complementary, yet separate roles, but that it is not the role of intelligence activities to lead the police to an arrest, directly, that is, per se. This concept may seem counterintuitive, outwardly, but the failure to observe and respect this understanding, this exacting, perhaps singularly unique distinction, has been the source of some of the greatest policing and intelligence effort failures in Canadian history.
The first, was the nearly two-year, scores of officers involved effort in BC, led by the chief of CSIS, McFadden, to co-opt two rather mentally-challenged youth into some sort of concocted terrorist plot, which neither, nor both of them, could by, or of themselves, conceive jointly and, or severely, execute.
And the second, lies at the hands of the Chief of the Edmonton Police Force, McFee, and the Deputy Chief of the West Edmonton Police station. Whose glaring failures to observe, and be guided by the cardinal rules of intelligence vis-à-vis police standard operations ...
More on this subject later, watch this space -
The first, was the nearly two-year, scores of officers involved effort in BC, led by the chief of CSIS, McFadden, to co-opt two rather mentally-challenged youth into some sort of concocted terrorist plot, which neither, nor both of them, could by, or of themselves, conceive jointly and, or severely, execute.
And the second, lies at the hands of the Chief of the Edmonton Police Force, McFee, and the Deputy Chief of the West Edmonton Police station. Whose glaring failures to observe, and be guided by the cardinal rules of intelligence vis-à-vis police standard operations ...
More on this subject later, watch this space -
b r e a k i n g n e w s - - - b r e a k i n g n e w s
... Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi missing after helicopter crash
Ebrahim Raisi, foreign minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian,
died in helicopter crash, now confirmed
... Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi missing after helicopter crash
Ebrahim Raisi, foreign minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian,
died in helicopter crash, now confirmed
Iranian president Ebrahim Raisi and his foreign minister are missing after a Bell 21 helicopter crashed on Sunday as it was crossing mountain terrain in heavy fog, near the border of Azerbaijan, around 600km (375 miles) northwest of the Iranian capital Tehran.
Every aspect of Iranian national security has been raised simultaneously, to their respective highest level of alert status, this has had the effect of Iran's neighbors, including Pakistan, with whom Iran has had serious military arsenal exchanges with in its southwest region.
At a time when the UN Secretary General, ought to play a positive role on the rapprochement front, our current secretary general is so mired in bewildering and shifting pronouncements concerning the conflict between Israel and Gaza, that other agencies will have to act to return the regional states and their affairs to some semblance of normal state functioning and interstate working relations.
The president's helicopter crash site has now been positively located, amid worsening weather conditions. The condition of the President Raisi, is not being communicated through any official, authoritative government, or news channels.
Inside Iran, notwithstanding Iranian security force attempts to maintain control on public demonstrations, that is, permitting and encouraging shows of support for what is now cast as a fallen hero, nonetheless, credible reports have produced scenes of spontaneous street celebrations, including fireworks, aimed at the possible demise of President Raisi, not only internally in numerous locations, but also in a number of overseas cities, as well. Such reports are, of course, fraught.
Modi of India has just released a statement of condolence concerning the sudden passing of the Iranian president. Modi's words are the subject of intense scrutiny globally, since it is difficult to ascertain, whether or not, his statement reads, ... I come to bury Caesar, not to praise him, or alternatively. Either way, Modi has an opportunity to help defuse the tinder box that is the current state of the Near East theatre, and Near East affairs. But will he?
Raisi's, ultimate and penultimate, last acts as president of Iran, will be recorded as his decision to attack Israel directly, which would serve as the impetus trigger to drag the countries of the Middle East, according to his step-by-step plan, into a interfaith war. And, that is the quagmire that Modi has willingly and willfully walked into.
Every aspect of Iranian national security has been raised simultaneously, to their respective highest level of alert status, this has had the effect of Iran's neighbors, including Pakistan, with whom Iran has had serious military arsenal exchanges with in its southwest region.
At a time when the UN Secretary General, ought to play a positive role on the rapprochement front, our current secretary general is so mired in bewildering and shifting pronouncements concerning the conflict between Israel and Gaza, that other agencies will have to act to return the regional states and their affairs to some semblance of normal state functioning and interstate working relations.
The president's helicopter crash site has now been positively located, amid worsening weather conditions. The condition of the President Raisi, is not being communicated through any official, authoritative government, or news channels.
Inside Iran, notwithstanding Iranian security force attempts to maintain control on public demonstrations, that is, permitting and encouraging shows of support for what is now cast as a fallen hero, nonetheless, credible reports have produced scenes of spontaneous street celebrations, including fireworks, aimed at the possible demise of President Raisi, not only internally in numerous locations, but also in a number of overseas cities, as well. Such reports are, of course, fraught.
Modi of India has just released a statement of condolence concerning the sudden passing of the Iranian president. Modi's words are the subject of intense scrutiny globally, since it is difficult to ascertain, whether or not, his statement reads, ... I come to bury Caesar, not to praise him, or alternatively. Either way, Modi has an opportunity to help defuse the tinder box that is the current state of the Near East theatre, and Near East affairs. But will he?
Raisi's, ultimate and penultimate, last acts as president of Iran, will be recorded as his decision to attack Israel directly, which would serve as the impetus trigger to drag the countries of the Middle East, according to his step-by-step plan, into a interfaith war. And, that is the quagmire that Modi has willingly and willfully walked into.
... repercussions from Raisi helicopter crash are far-reaching, and concerning
Israel captures Gazan side of the Rafah Crossing, disconnecting it from Salah a-Din road in the east
Israel captures Gazan side of the Rafah Crossing, disconnecting it from Salah a-Din road in the east
As of now, there is no specific information indicating that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard communicated directly with the Egyptian government to secure entry for its Revolutionary Guard forces into Rafah, for the exact purpose of fighting the Israeli army (IDF). Although several HAMAS linked media outlets have suggested so.
However, while it is important to note that the situation in the region is complex and fluid, nonetheless, the fundamentals of the relationships within the quagmire, still apply.
Recent events include the Israeli military capturing the Gazan side of the Rafah Crossing, disconnecting it from the Salah a-Din road in eastern Rafah.
Additionally, top defense officials from Israel have been in contact with their Egyptian counterparts to address recent developments concerning the crossing, and these talks exist along with, and amid on-going discussions on the matters of hostilities and humanitarian assistance concerns related to the conflict.
Tensions between Iran and Israel have also escalated, with recent incidents involving the Revolutionary Guard. The Rafah
border crossing had been jointly controlled by Egypt and Hamas authorities, with specific limitations on deployment.
Keep in mind that the situation will evolve, in what is now, the immediate post-direct-attack-on-Israel period by the now deceased president and foreign minister of Iran.
In relation to the cause of the helicopter accident that took the life of President Raisi of Iran, Sergey Lavrov, the foreign minister of Russia since 2004, blames US sanctions for depriving Iran of the necessary parts to keep the Bell helicopter in good working order.
The State security apparatus of a country is responsible for the decision, as to the air-worthiness of any and all aircraft under their command, the decision to fly or not to fly an aircraft, rest solely with the commanders with those awesome responsibilities. And if, as Lavrov suggests, there were concerns as to the air-worthiness of that craft, the decision to fly that craft, should be explained, by those commanders.
those who sees it from the beginning, see it most clearly
... 1967, the year so many people became stateless, unnecessarily
... 1967, the year so many people became stateless, unnecessarily
Rest assured, the seeming chaos that now defines the Near East is moving towards order, notwithstanding that the patterns arrived at, might be unexpected, nonetheless, order will be established, functioning, and observable.
A very good starting point for those actively engaged in the Near East, and looking beyond the practice of de facto coexistence, that is, coexistence as a state of affairs that is in practice evident, and in fact, observable, but that are not officially recognised, as by being enshrined in law and regulations, for example; is to gain an awareness and appreciation for the circumstances which existed in the Near East in 1967, and since then.
- in process
