www.theoxfordscientist.com
Trumpgate
... from Grizzly Steppe to KleptoCapture
unraveling the connection between Trump, Putin,
and the Putin Republicans
And, thus begins,
the long slow walk to disgrace and ruin for Trump,
and the legacy of the Trump presidency
E LaMont Gregory MSc Oxon
... unraveling the connection between Trump and Putin,
without Rosenstein blocking the investigation
without Rosenstein blocking the investigation
While the nation is in the middle of multiple investigations involving President Donald Trump, his White House, former campaign staff and associates, and Russian involvement in the presidential election of 2016 & 2020, there are so many strands that it is difficult to see the forest for the trees, as it were. In other words, to tell the story of Trumpgate (Grizzly Steppe to KleptoCapture) sequentially and logically.
But, with the advantage of history and the passage of time, one can tell the story of Watergate, and the demise of President Richard M Nixon, in a very few sentences, with facility, if not ease.
It was the cover up that was Nixon's undoing, ultimately. 18 minutes erased from a tape recording, and a seven and a half hour gap in the White House phone records, in the case of Nixon, and Trump, respectively.
In a soon-to-be-released article, this author, tells the demise of Donald J Trump story from the perspective of looking backwards, as if sufficient time had passed between Trumpgate and now. The null hypothesis, it will be shown, is an enormously valuable investigative tool in a society where the presumption of innocence is the foundation of civil liberties, enormously valuable.
There are three important strands to the Trumpgate story.
The first is Donald J Trump. And, to understand how Trump became involved in this whole shameful affair, we will have to delve into the concept of - signature - in criminal investigations, both in terms of signature aspect and signature behavior. The former elucidates motive, while signature behavior brings light to the satisfaction of deep-seated psychological needs, that is, the emotions that drive actions. The overriding emotions Trump exhibited were revenge and greed.
It is obvious that Clinton's continuous accusation that Trump was not a billionaire, hurt Trump more than one might expect, and as a result he continued a money-laundering operation on a scale rarely seen by so public a figure, including tarmac meetings with Russian billionaire oligarchs at airports across the US, while Trump was campaigning.
Yes, there are aspects of this case in which the signature of Donald J Trump is evident and clearly visible. And, once the unique signature aspects of Trump's involvement are unearthed and put on display; the means, opportunity and motive components of his involvement are also made clear.
The second strand concerns those who were drawn wittingly and unwittingly into espionage and committing the crime of treason against the United States. The former, those who wittingly participated, include the individual who made direct contact with the Wikileaks head, Assange, on behalf of Trump and requested their assistance in helping Trump hurt Hillary Clinton.
The American IT experts in micro-targeting within the realm of social media are a case in fact of those who unwittingly, at least initially, became involved. Conway and Bannon, left the failing Cruz campaign and joined Cambridge Analytica, and with millions of data points voluntarily supplied to them by Facebook, they orchestrated the data mining operation that swung the election in Trumps favor. Swung in his favour, but like the calls to Georgia in the 2020 elections, it should have been Clinton's group, yelling stop the steal. But that is another and future investigation.
Once the Facebook data reached the FSB/GRU data center computers at the University of St Petersburg, although it has seemed slow to materialize, Facebook's fate and ultimate disgrace was sealed. Facebook cannot get the data of their clients back from the Russians, and the Russians will mine that data to continue to subvert American elections, as well as, the US stock market. Sorry, most of the public just learned about other institutions like the stock exchange that are as liable to social/psychological manipulation, as are elections.
In an agreement with the FTC, Facebook is liable for a fine of up to $40,000 for each breach of privacy of anyone of its clients, that fine now exceeds the total assets of Facebook (assets 4 billion, fines 7 billion), and therefore Facebook is bankrupt.
Through the manipulation of congressional hearings and Zuckerberg's promise to voluntarily make alterations in his business model being highly widely publicized, the public was left to believe that Facebook would survive. But in fact, the delay was rather an underhanded way of giving institutional and other large investors time to get their money out of Facebook without the public knowing there was a run on the bank. Especially, in light of the shift by Zuckerberg to greener pastures.
An interesting aside involves John Kasich and his ties to Cambridge Analytica. Kasich knew of the work of Cambridge Analytic and secured their services, unaware that they were working by that time almost exclusively for the Russian-backed Trump forces, and were using the fees Kasich paid Cambridge Analytica to work against him. Thus, rendering Kasich one of the least aware, genius, candidates for the presidency in US history. As we delve into the larger picture of the activities of Conway and Bannon, the nothing wrong descriptor, proves false.
It is also of investigatory interest to delve into the full extent of the association between Kasich and Cambridge Analytica, an association that dates well before, in terms of years, Kasich's presidential bid, in fact, the association includes his working in the financial sector. Remember, the stock market began in the rumor-filled pubs of London, and the fruit remains remarkedly near its origins.
And remember that Trump was so confident that Conway's activities and associations with Cambridge A were so brilliantly structured that she posed no liability to him, and therefore he kept her on the White House staff. Donald Trump's judgement in these matters recent history tells us, is not to be relied upon. But keeping Conway in the fish bowl at least lets the public keep her under the same constant surveillance as the FBI counter-espionage does.
One may argue, and the lawyer's of the targets of Mueller's investigation surely do, that there was nothing out of the ordinary in the initial contacts by the Trump campaign seeking the services of Cambridge Analytica, since social media campaigns have become an important part of modern internet-based electioneering. The claim is however fallacious given the association between Conway and Bannon and the data of millions of Facebook users being spirited away to Russian intelligence computers in St Petersburg. Of course, Page claims that he was only involved in conversations 'at nothing meetings' with Russian intelligence operatives at conferences.
But the 'patriotic Russians' (in the words of Putin) associated with the Trump campaign, who were actually going to manipulate the data from the American micro-targeting experts, wanted proof that the American micro-targeting group could micro-target within the social media realm with the precision claimed by the Trump campaign associates, with whom they were in contact.
Once that proof was supplied, a more direct line of communication was established between the American IT group and their 'patriotic Russian' IT expert counterparts. The American micro-targeting group supplied their expertise on a continuous basis to hundreds of Russians working within the internet weaponizing group of the FSB.
Espionage always requires local knowledge and expertise.
At first, the American IT experts enthusiastically worked because the money was just too good for them to be concerned how the information was being used by the Trump campaign people, who had engaged their services, even though they suspected that the Trump campaign did not have the expertise to use the information with the sophistication that it was being used.
And, subsequently there came a time when it was rather obvious to the Americans that they were providing the information that was allowing 'patriotic Russians' to ply their trade to influence the US 2016 presidential election.
But again, the money was just too good for the American IT experts to be concerned that they were assisting Russians to influence an American election, and in so doing they were committing espionage against the United States, a sad but true state of affairs.
This aspect of the association between the Trump campaign and 'patriotic Russians' has not been the subject of any serious news coverage in the United States until this day. That, however, is all about to change, because the activities of the Trump campaign associate who brought the social media micro-targeting experts into the Trump campaign fold is now under intense scrutiny.
There is a west coast and an east coast element to the Trump campaign collusion story.
The third strand concerns Vladimir Putin, and why the Russians, knowing that any and all large scale espionage efforts carry with them the possibility of very serious blow back, engaged in Grizzly Steppe, the attempt to manipulate the US presidential election of 2016. It should be realized that the concept of great risks often bring great rewards, is not a satisfactory answer here.
However, there is a single precipitating event that is so deeply and strongly held by Putin, by Russians, that Grizzly Steppe and Russian interference in many European elections has become a stable of Russian covert activity.
Unraveling the precipitating event also allows this author to discuss why Russians and Europeans in general have exhaustively dissected the PhD thesis of one Condoleezza Rice, as well as, a collaborative effort book, Germany Unified and Europe Transformed (Harvard University Press, 1995).
The association between German re-unification, the collapse of the Soviet Union, CIA covert operations, and the deep seated angst that Putin holds for the United States and Europe will come as a surprise to many Americans, but not to the CIA, nor to each and every administration, since the GHW Bush administration.
But, with the advantage of history and the passage of time, one can tell the story of Watergate, and the demise of President Richard M Nixon, in a very few sentences, with facility, if not ease.
It was the cover up that was Nixon's undoing, ultimately. 18 minutes erased from a tape recording, and a seven and a half hour gap in the White House phone records, in the case of Nixon, and Trump, respectively.
In a soon-to-be-released article, this author, tells the demise of Donald J Trump story from the perspective of looking backwards, as if sufficient time had passed between Trumpgate and now. The null hypothesis, it will be shown, is an enormously valuable investigative tool in a society where the presumption of innocence is the foundation of civil liberties, enormously valuable.
There are three important strands to the Trumpgate story.
The first is Donald J Trump. And, to understand how Trump became involved in this whole shameful affair, we will have to delve into the concept of - signature - in criminal investigations, both in terms of signature aspect and signature behavior. The former elucidates motive, while signature behavior brings light to the satisfaction of deep-seated psychological needs, that is, the emotions that drive actions. The overriding emotions Trump exhibited were revenge and greed.
It is obvious that Clinton's continuous accusation that Trump was not a billionaire, hurt Trump more than one might expect, and as a result he continued a money-laundering operation on a scale rarely seen by so public a figure, including tarmac meetings with Russian billionaire oligarchs at airports across the US, while Trump was campaigning.
Yes, there are aspects of this case in which the signature of Donald J Trump is evident and clearly visible. And, once the unique signature aspects of Trump's involvement are unearthed and put on display; the means, opportunity and motive components of his involvement are also made clear.
The second strand concerns those who were drawn wittingly and unwittingly into espionage and committing the crime of treason against the United States. The former, those who wittingly participated, include the individual who made direct contact with the Wikileaks head, Assange, on behalf of Trump and requested their assistance in helping Trump hurt Hillary Clinton.
The American IT experts in micro-targeting within the realm of social media are a case in fact of those who unwittingly, at least initially, became involved. Conway and Bannon, left the failing Cruz campaign and joined Cambridge Analytica, and with millions of data points voluntarily supplied to them by Facebook, they orchestrated the data mining operation that swung the election in Trumps favor. Swung in his favour, but like the calls to Georgia in the 2020 elections, it should have been Clinton's group, yelling stop the steal. But that is another and future investigation.
Once the Facebook data reached the FSB/GRU data center computers at the University of St Petersburg, although it has seemed slow to materialize, Facebook's fate and ultimate disgrace was sealed. Facebook cannot get the data of their clients back from the Russians, and the Russians will mine that data to continue to subvert American elections, as well as, the US stock market. Sorry, most of the public just learned about other institutions like the stock exchange that are as liable to social/psychological manipulation, as are elections.
In an agreement with the FTC, Facebook is liable for a fine of up to $40,000 for each breach of privacy of anyone of its clients, that fine now exceeds the total assets of Facebook (assets 4 billion, fines 7 billion), and therefore Facebook is bankrupt.
Through the manipulation of congressional hearings and Zuckerberg's promise to voluntarily make alterations in his business model being highly widely publicized, the public was left to believe that Facebook would survive. But in fact, the delay was rather an underhanded way of giving institutional and other large investors time to get their money out of Facebook without the public knowing there was a run on the bank. Especially, in light of the shift by Zuckerberg to greener pastures.
An interesting aside involves John Kasich and his ties to Cambridge Analytica. Kasich knew of the work of Cambridge Analytic and secured their services, unaware that they were working by that time almost exclusively for the Russian-backed Trump forces, and were using the fees Kasich paid Cambridge Analytica to work against him. Thus, rendering Kasich one of the least aware, genius, candidates for the presidency in US history. As we delve into the larger picture of the activities of Conway and Bannon, the nothing wrong descriptor, proves false.
It is also of investigatory interest to delve into the full extent of the association between Kasich and Cambridge Analytica, an association that dates well before, in terms of years, Kasich's presidential bid, in fact, the association includes his working in the financial sector. Remember, the stock market began in the rumor-filled pubs of London, and the fruit remains remarkedly near its origins.
And remember that Trump was so confident that Conway's activities and associations with Cambridge A were so brilliantly structured that she posed no liability to him, and therefore he kept her on the White House staff. Donald Trump's judgement in these matters recent history tells us, is not to be relied upon. But keeping Conway in the fish bowl at least lets the public keep her under the same constant surveillance as the FBI counter-espionage does.
One may argue, and the lawyer's of the targets of Mueller's investigation surely do, that there was nothing out of the ordinary in the initial contacts by the Trump campaign seeking the services of Cambridge Analytica, since social media campaigns have become an important part of modern internet-based electioneering. The claim is however fallacious given the association between Conway and Bannon and the data of millions of Facebook users being spirited away to Russian intelligence computers in St Petersburg. Of course, Page claims that he was only involved in conversations 'at nothing meetings' with Russian intelligence operatives at conferences.
But the 'patriotic Russians' (in the words of Putin) associated with the Trump campaign, who were actually going to manipulate the data from the American micro-targeting experts, wanted proof that the American micro-targeting group could micro-target within the social media realm with the precision claimed by the Trump campaign associates, with whom they were in contact.
Once that proof was supplied, a more direct line of communication was established between the American IT group and their 'patriotic Russian' IT expert counterparts. The American micro-targeting group supplied their expertise on a continuous basis to hundreds of Russians working within the internet weaponizing group of the FSB.
Espionage always requires local knowledge and expertise.
At first, the American IT experts enthusiastically worked because the money was just too good for them to be concerned how the information was being used by the Trump campaign people, who had engaged their services, even though they suspected that the Trump campaign did not have the expertise to use the information with the sophistication that it was being used.
And, subsequently there came a time when it was rather obvious to the Americans that they were providing the information that was allowing 'patriotic Russians' to ply their trade to influence the US 2016 presidential election.
But again, the money was just too good for the American IT experts to be concerned that they were assisting Russians to influence an American election, and in so doing they were committing espionage against the United States, a sad but true state of affairs.
This aspect of the association between the Trump campaign and 'patriotic Russians' has not been the subject of any serious news coverage in the United States until this day. That, however, is all about to change, because the activities of the Trump campaign associate who brought the social media micro-targeting experts into the Trump campaign fold is now under intense scrutiny.
There is a west coast and an east coast element to the Trump campaign collusion story.
The third strand concerns Vladimir Putin, and why the Russians, knowing that any and all large scale espionage efforts carry with them the possibility of very serious blow back, engaged in Grizzly Steppe, the attempt to manipulate the US presidential election of 2016. It should be realized that the concept of great risks often bring great rewards, is not a satisfactory answer here.
However, there is a single precipitating event that is so deeply and strongly held by Putin, by Russians, that Grizzly Steppe and Russian interference in many European elections has become a stable of Russian covert activity.
Unraveling the precipitating event also allows this author to discuss why Russians and Europeans in general have exhaustively dissected the PhD thesis of one Condoleezza Rice, as well as, a collaborative effort book, Germany Unified and Europe Transformed (Harvard University Press, 1995).
The association between German re-unification, the collapse of the Soviet Union, CIA covert operations, and the deep seated angst that Putin holds for the United States and Europe will come as a surprise to many Americans, but not to the CIA, nor to each and every administration, since the GHW Bush administration.
A must read for those in whose hands American security rests
- An End to War -
"... the Rome Statute established four core international crimes:
genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes, and the crime of aggression,
and that is the precise arena that we wish to pursue ..."
an in-depth understanding, one is not likely to gain from the newsreaders on cable news
-- click here to read article --
"... the Rome Statute established four core international crimes:
genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes, and the crime of aggression,
and that is the precise arena that we wish to pursue ..."
an in-depth understanding, one is not likely to gain from the newsreaders on cable news
-- click here to read article --
... a long twilight struggle
